Newcastle Race Day Predictions - November 5, 2024

 With an all-weather Tapeta surface and uphill final stretch at Newcastle, race day demands stamina and strategic timing from both horse and jockey. Here’s a detailed analysis and predictions for each of the 8 races, including exacta picks, dark horses, and insights based on recent performance, jockey skills, and ground conditions.

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Race 1: Free Bets with BetUK Bet Club Handicap (2:40 PM) - 2m56y

Competitive spirit in Race 1 as contenders push hard at Newcastle.

• Exacta Prediction: Get Shirty (1) and Knight Templar (4)

• Dark Horse: Bringbackmemories (2)

Analysis:

A long 3270m race, ideal for stamina runners. Get Shirty has been competing in tougher fields and now drops in class, making him a strong favorite. Knight Templar enters with confidence after three straight wins and could challenge despite this being his Tapeta debut. Bringbackmemories has shown inconsistency but can surprise with a competitive pace if he finds his rhythm early.

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Race 2: BetMGM: It’s Showtime Novice Stakes (3:15 PM) - 7f14y

Race 2 features promising young talent with a push for a strong finish.

• Exacta Prediction: What A Question (2) and Vibrato (1)

• Dark Horse: Mrs Potts (4)

Analysis:

This 1420m novice race is a chance for What A Question to make a strong comeback. Despite a long break, her debut win showed potential, and she’s positioned to win if she returns in form. Vibrato is consistent and should place well. Mrs Potts is still a maiden but has potential for improvement after a promising third at Southwell.

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Race 3: BetMGM’s Golden Goals Nursery Handicap (3:50 PM) - 6f

Fast-paced action in Race 3’s 6f sprint as horses and jockeys compete.

• Exacta Prediction: We’ve Got This (7) and Ghostman (1)

• Dark Horse: Azuinthejungle (5)

Analysis:

For this sprint, We’ve Got This stands out with a promising third-place finish at Ripon, indicating improvement as he moves to handicaps. Ghostman recently took second in a similar 5f race and could challenge. Azuinthejungle has been inconsistent but ran well last time on this course, making him a potential upset.

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Race 4: £30 in Free Bets with BetUK Handicap (4:25 PM) - 6f

Race 4 heats up with contenders vying for position on Newcastle’s 6f track.

• Exacta Prediction: Another Investment (1) and Wren Officer (4)

• Dark Horse: Sacred Falls (5)

Analysis:

At 1210m, this race will favor pacey contenders. Another Investment is returning to form and only 1 lb above his last winning mark, making him a strong candidate. Wren Officer won impressively over 6f recently and remains competitive despite a slight weight increase. Sacred Falls has the stamina and class to challenge, especially after a few months’ rest.

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Race 5: Best Odds Guaranteed at BetMGM Handicap (5:00 PM) - 1m5y

Race 5 showcases endurance as horses tackle the mile-long course.

• Exacta Prediction: Alzahir (1) and Zouzanna (2)

• Dark Horse: Serenity Dream (5)

Analysis:

This mile-long handicap favors stamina and resilience. Alzahir recently won by a wide margin at Leicester and is well-placed here to continue that momentum. Zouzanna has been steadily improving and performed well on AW tracks, making her a close contender. Serenity Dream had an impressive late surge in a recent outing, hinting at untapped potential.

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Race 6: Extra Winnings with BetUK Acca Club Handicap (5:30 PM) - 6f

Intense competition in Race 6 as top contenders battle in the final stretch.

• Exacta Prediction: Variety Island (8) and Lord Abama (1)

• Dark Horse: Beneficiary (3)

Analysis:

A fast-paced 6f sprint requiring both agility and endurance, Variety Island showed strength in a recent race over this course and could excel with favorable positioning. Lord Abama consistently places within the top ranks and enjoys this track. Beneficiary may surprise after a commendable second at Southwell, proving he has the speed for short distances.

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Race 7: Weekly Free Bets with BetMGM Extra Handicap (6:00 PM) - 1m5y

• Exacta Prediction: True Nation (9) and Tasever (3)

• Dark Horse: Mr Heinz (5)

Analysis:

For the mile-long seventh race, True Nation is coming off a successful run and is expected to perform well on the AW surface. Tasever had a strong showing last time, finishing second here, and could leverage his familiarity with the track. Mr Heinz, another course regular, finished close to the leaders recently and could provide a surprise finish.

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Race 8: Gamble Responsibly at BetMGM Handicap (6:30 PM) - 7f14y

The final race of the day ends with a scenic sunset at Newcastle’s 7f course.

• Exacta Prediction: Kapparis Kid (8) and Tickets (1)

• Dark Horse: Al Shabab (2)

Analysis:

The final 7f race calls for stamina and strong finishing power. Kapparis Kid has underperformed recently but could find his stride back on the AW surface. Tickets recently won over this course and could challenge again. Al Shabab, although relatively new to AW, showed solid form in his last outing and could offer a competitive close to the day.

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Conclusion

These exacta and dark horse predictions leverage recent form, track familiarity, and race conditions, with Get Shirty in Race 1, Alzahir in Race 5, and True Nation in Race 7 standing out as prime contender

Happy Betting!!!

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