Sedgefield Race Preview and Exacta analysis 05 Nov

 

Sedgefield R1: Vickersbet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (3381m) - 18:30

Race Overview: A competitive Class 5 Handicap Hurdle with a field of eight, featuring a mix of experienced and emerging talent. The ground is Good, which should suit most runners. The track’s undulating nature often favors horses with stamina and an ability to jump consistently. Let’s break down the key contenders for the Exacta and potential Win & Place bets.

Neck-and-neck action at Sedgefield as jockeys navigate the challenging November course.

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1. Tropical Talent (5)

• Trainer: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
• Jockey: Ben Smith (A3.5)
• Form: 1-6-7
• Key Stats: 1 win from 2 starts at Sedgefield; consistent over hurdles.
• Analysis: Finished strong in a recent Southwell G1 and showed promise at Uttoxeter. With a drop in class, Tropical Talent looks primed for a solid performance on good ground. A definite threat for the Exacta.

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2. Clean Getaway (10)

• Trainer: P A Kirby
• Jockey: Joe Williamson
• Form: 1-2-4
• Key Stats: Recent winner at Sedgefield, strong recent form in hurdles.
• Analysis: A course and distance winner, Clean Getaway should enjoy the track conditions. His victory in a steeplechase recently shows solid form, making him a top contender for the Exacta, especially with a reliable jockey.

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3. Langton Wold (2)

• Trainer: Brian Ellison
• Jockey: Tom Midgley
• Form: 2-4-5
• Key Stats: Good record over similar distances and tracks.
• Analysis: Showed improvement last time out at Market Rasen and has the right profile for this type of race. He’s likely to feature in the places, with a good chance of making the Exacta.

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4. Belle Na Bann (7)

• Trainer: Micky Hammond
• Jockey: Emma Smith-Chaston (A1.5)
• Form: 1-2-7
• Key Stats: A strong performer in soft conditions, but a solid 2nd at Perth shows potential on good ground.
• Analysis: Returning after a break, Belle Na Bann looks like a capable contender. Her form from earlier this year makes her a likely candidate for a top-four finish and possibly in the Exacta.

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5. Milajess (8)

• Trainer: Micky Hammond
• Jockey: Joshua Thompson (A3.5)
• Form: 0-2-7
• Key Stats: Struggled recently but has shown ability on good ground in the past.
• Analysis: Hard to recommend based on recent form. Milajess will need to improve significantly to feature in the top places.

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Predicted Exacta:

• 1st: Clean Getaway (10)
• 2nd: Tropical Talent (5)

Reasoning: Clean Getaway's solid course form, combined with a recent win, positions him as the likely winner, while Tropical Talent, with his good form at this distance, should be the most likely to secure second place. Langton Wold and Belle Na Bann could also be worth considering for place bets.

Sedgefield R2: Join Rebecca Menzies Racing Club Today Maiden Hurdle (3381m) - 19:05

Race Overview:
This Maiden Hurdle features a competitive field of eight runners, with some seasoned jumpers and others making their hurdling debut. The Good ground should suit most, though it may favor those with recent hurdling experience. Let's assess the leading contenders for the Exacta and Win & Place.

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1. Kingston Narcissus (FRA) (4)

• Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
• Jockey: Ross Chapman
• Form: 4-2
• Key Stats: Strong form in France, placed second at Sedgefield over 3400m on debut.
• Analysis: Kingston Narcissus showed good promise when second in his maiden hurdle debut at Sedgefield, and he should improve from that run. He’ll strip fitter for this race and has the potential to be in the finish, making him a strong contender for the Exacta.

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2. Brave Jen (9)

• Trainer: T Ellis
• Jockey: Jack Andrews
• Form: 7-2-3
• Key Stats: Placed twice in maiden hurdles, including a strong second at Plumpton.
• Analysis: Brave Jen has been in decent form, finishing second in both of her last two maiden hurdles. Despite a poor last performance at Hexham, her earlier form puts her in the mix, especially given her solid form over similar distances. A strong Place contender.

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3. Broderick (IRE) (1)

• Trainer: Jennie Candlish
• Jockey: Sean Quinlan
• Form: 4-7
• Key Stats: Sparingly raced; unplaced on debut and struggled in a recent bumper.
• Analysis: Broderick’s recent form in bumpers raises concerns, and although he has potential, he’ll need to improve significantly over hurdles. Given his limited experience, he’s unlikely to feature in the top spots here but could show some promise.

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4. Demilion (IRE) (3)

• Trainer: Mrs. A Dunn
• Jockey: Adam Wedge
• Form: 9-4
• Key Stats: Showed improvement when fourth at Newton Abbot before a spell.
• Analysis: Demilion returns after a break, and while his record over hurdles isn’t stellar, his recent form before the layoff suggests he could be a threat here. With Adam Wedge in the saddle, he could be a value Place contender, particularly if he continues his upward trajectory.

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5. Stellarmasterpiece (FRA) (12)

• Trainer: Micky Hammond
• Jockey: Emma Smith-Chaston
• Form: 3-1-3
• Key Stats: Showed some promise on the flat but making her hurdling debut here.
• Analysis: Stellarmasterpiece has shown good flat form but is making her hurdling debut. While it’s hard to gauge her ability over jumps, she has potential based on her flat performances. She could be an outsider to consider for a Place finish.

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6. Supreme George (IRE) (7)

• Trainer: Donald McCain Jnr
• Jockey: Brian Hughes
• Form: 4-2-8
• Key Stats: Modest flat form after a long layoff but has some potential over hurdles.
• Analysis: Supreme George's recent flat form doesn't inspire much confidence, but his past performances suggest he could improve over hurdles. Still, he’s likely to need more experience before becoming a serious contender in this field.

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7. The Last Cloud (IRE) (8)

• Trainer: P Neville
• Jockey: Henry Brooke
• Form: Debutante
• Key Stats: Making debut over hurdles.
• Analysis: The Last Cloud is a complete unknown at this stage. While market support will be important, there’s not enough evidence to suggest he will feature prominently in this race. However, keep an eye on betting moves as the race approaches.

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Predicted Exacta:

• 1st: Kingston Narcissus (4)
• 2nd: Brave Jen (9)

Reasoning: Kingston Narcissus is the most experienced runner in this field, and after a solid debut, he looks likely to take the top spot. Brave Jen, with consistent form over hurdles, looks set for another Place finish and can be counted on to challenge for second. Demilion and Stellarmasterpiece could also be contenders for a Place bet.

Sedgefield R3: Vickers.bet Proud to Support British Racing Novices Hurdle

Colorful silks and muddy tracks—hallmarks of a true November race in England.

For the Vickers.bet Proud To Support British Racing Novices' Hurdle at 19:40 on Tuesday, November 5, we have a field of seven runners, with good ground conditions. Below is an analysis of each runner's form, strengths, and possible challenges:

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1. Kingston Narcissus (FRA)

• Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
• Jockey: Ross Chapman
• SP: 1.65 (Fixed Odds), 1.16 (Tote)
• Career Record: 18 races, 0 wins, 4 places, 2 showings
• Key Points:
  • Recent Form: A solid second place on its most recent start in a maiden hurdle (3400m) at Sedgefield. Despite a rough first-up run, it is expected to be fitter for the run.
  • Track & Distance: A promising record at Sedgefield (2 runs, 1 place), which is the course for this event.
  • Ground: Prefers soft but has some good performances on good ground (5 runs, 0 wins, 2 places).
  • Verdict: One of the stronger contenders. 

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2. Brave Jen

• Trainer: T Ellis
• Jockey: Jack Andrews (A1.5)
• SP: 3.90 (Fixed Odds), 1.45 (Tote)
• Career Record: 13 races, 0 wins, 2 places, 2 showings
• Key Points:
  • Recent Form: Placed in maiden hurdles at Plumpton and Hexham but was beaten by a significant margin last time out (20 lengths).
  • Track & Distance: No course or distance-specific data, but has placed twice in a similar class of hurdles.
  • Ground: Prefers good ground (10 runs, 0 wins, 2 places).
  • Verdict: Has shown improvement but may need a bit more to trouble the better horses here.

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3. Broderick (IRE)

• Trainer: Jennie Candlish
• Jockey: Sean Quinlan
• SP: 6.50 (Fixed Odds), 2.00 (Tote)
• Career Record: 2 races, 0 wins, 0 places, 0 showings
• Key Points:
  • Recent Form: Hasn't finished in the placings in its career so far, with a poor debut run and a disappointing seventh in a bumper at Punchestown.
  • Track & Distance: No data on performance at similar tracks or distances.
  • Ground: No data for good ground, but its form has been unimpressive on soft and heavy conditions.
  • Verdict: Likely to need more experience and improvement before it can make an impact here.

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4. Demilion (IRE)

• Trainer: Mrs A Dunn
• Jockey: Adam Wedge
• SP: 15.00 (Fixed Odds), 3.40 (Tote)
• Career Record: 14 races, 1 win, 2 places, 2 showings
• Key Points:
  • Recent Form: Showed some improvement last time, finishing fourth in a hurdle at Newton Abbot, beaten by 14.75 lengths.
  • Track & Distance: Limited experience at this distance but has performed decently in similar races.
  • Ground: Prefers soft ground (4 runs, 0 wins, 2 places), though it hasn't yet shown its best on good ground (5 runs, no wins).
  • Verdict: Comes into this race with some potential but may still need improvement.

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5. Stellarmasterpiece (FRA)

• Trainer: Micky Hammond
• Jockey: Emma Smith-Chaston (A1.5)
• SP: 17.00 (Fixed Odds), 3.70 (Tote)
• Career Record: 14 races, 2 wins, 1 place, 5 showings
• Key Points:
  • Recent Form: Solid performances on the flat, including a win and a second place. This is Stellarmasterpiece's first start over hurdles, making it somewhat of an unknown.
  • Track & Distance: Has no hurdles experience, but does have a decent flat record on good ground.
  • Ground: Has done well on good ground (12 runs, 2 wins, 1 place).
  • Verdict: A potentially strong contender if it can translate its flat form to hurdles, though it may face some challenges on debut.

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6. Supreme George (IRE)

• Trainer: Donald McCain Jnr
• Jockey: Brian Hughes
• SP: 20.00 (Fixed Odds), 3.80 (Tote)
• Career Record: 3 races, 0 wins, 1 place, 0 showings
• Key Points:
  • Recent Form: Has not shown much over the flat, with a poor eighth place in a 3200m race at Warwick.
  • Track & Distance: No hurdles experience and limited form on the flat.
  • Ground: Has run on good ground once and on soft/heavy ground, with very little success.
  • Verdict: Needs a lot of improvement to be competitive here.

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7. The Last Cloud (IRE)

• Trainer: P Neville
• Jockey: Henry Brooke
• SP: 41.00 (Fixed Odds), 5.50 (Tote)
• Career Record: 0 races, 0 wins, 0 places, 0 showings
• Key Points:
  • Recent Form: This is The Last Cloud's debut race, so there's no form to gauge its ability in a competitive field.
  • Track & Distance: No prior experience or data for the track or distance.
  • Ground: Unproven on good ground.
  • Verdict: As a debutant with no race experience, it will be a huge challenge to compete against more experienced runners in this field.

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Summary and Betting Recommendations:

• Strong Contender: Kingston Narcissus looks like the one to beat based on its solid form and the fact it is improving after its first-up run. It should be in the mix for a strong finish.
• Each-Way Possibilities: Brave Jen has shown some promise with a couple of placings and could sneak into the frame again here, though may struggle for a win.
• Potential for Improvement: Stellarmasterpiece is an intriguing runner, especially with its flat form, but it's a big unknown over hurdles.
• Outsiders: Demilion and Broderick both have limited appeal, but Demilion may improve on its last start. Supreme George and The Last Cloud are the least likely to make an impact, with no relevant form in this discipline.

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Betting Strategy:

• Win: Kingston Narcissus
• Place: Brave Jen, Stellarmasterpiece (on flat form), Demilion

Race 4 : Sedgefield - ENG (Tuesday, November 5, 20:15, Novices' Handicap Chase)

A picturesque racecourse set amidst autumn leaves and misty November skies.

Key Facts:

• Race Distance: 4023m (Novices' Handicap Chase)
• Ground Condition: Good
• Key Track Trends: Sedgefield is a sharp, undulating track. Good ground often favors horses with stamina but also requires good jumping technique.

Breakdown of the Field:

1. Quaresome (4.40, 2.15)

   • Career Stats: 10 runs, 2 wins, 3 places, 0 unplaced. Prize money: $32,156.
   • Recent Form: Mixed performances with a 6th in a 3200m hurdle at Ludlow last time. Prior to that, had a 5th in a similar contest.
   • Trainer/Jockey: Donald McCain Jnr / Brian Hughes. McCain’s yard has had a good season, and Brian Hughes is a top jockey in Northern England.
   • Track/Distance Record: A poor record at Sedgefield (0 from 1), but a good strike rate on good ground (2 from 8).
   • Comments: Strong enough performances in hurdles and novice chases in the past. Can improve with the right run, but might struggle in a competitive handicap chase.

2. Presenting Pete (4.40, 2.15)

   • Career Stats: 28 runs, 2 wins, 5 places, 3 unplaced. Prize money: $60,283.
   • Recent Form: Failed to threaten last start, finishing 15 lengths behind in a steeplechase at Southwell. However, has been in the mix in previous handicap hurdles.
   • Trainer/Jockey: J Mackie / Sean Quinlan. Mackie’s yard has been inconsistent, but Quinlan is a solid jockey at Sedgefield.
   • Track/Distance Record: Presenting Pete has decent form at Sedgefield (0 wins from 3 attempts but placed 2 times).
   • Comments: Would need to show improvement on recent form to be competitive, but good handicap chase experience could come into play here.

3. Final Edgar (4.80, 2.25)

   • Career Stats: 13 runs, 1 win, 2 places, 2 unplaced. Prize money: $21,556.
   • Recent Form: Struggled last time out in a steeplechase, easing out of the race. Best effort was 5 lengths behind in a hurdle race at Sedgefield two runs ago.
   • Trainer/Jockey: Mark Walford / Jamie Hamilton. Jamie Hamilton is experienced, though the horse has been inconsistent.
   • Track/Distance Record: Good record at Sedgefield (1 win from 4 runs). However, his form is a little up and down.
   • Comments: Has potential but will need to find improvement from recent outings.

4. Sun Joy (6.00, 2.65)

   • Career Stats: 19 runs, 2 wins, 5 places, 0 unplaced. Prize money: $72,549.
   • Recent Form: Last race was a poor effort in a steeplechase at Kempton (beaten 44 lengths). Best runs have been over 3600m+ distances.
   • Trainer/Jockey: B Pauling / Kielan Woods. Pauling’s horses have a good record in chases and handicaps.
   • Track/Distance Record: 1 win from 5 on good ground. His form indicates he might not be the strongest over this distance, but better is expected after his layoff.
   • Comments: A fit horse could pose a serious challenge, but recent form doesn’t suggest he will be a big factor here.

5. Burrows Hall (6.00, 2.65)

   • Career Stats: 15 runs, 2 wins, 4 places, 3 unplaced. Prize money: $36,255.
   • Recent Form: Returning from a 179-day break after a 5th place in a hurdle race at Market Rasen. Has a good overall record in chases and hurdles.
   • Trainer/Jockey: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith / Nick Scholfield. The Parkinson-Smith combination has been producing some decent form, especially with Burrows Hall in staying races.
   • Track/Distance Record: No form at Sedgefield, but a solid overall strike rate over hurdles and chases (1 win from 9 on good ground).
   • Comments: A potential danger given his ability when fresh. Likely to be fitter this time and might feature heavily in the finish.

6. Imperial Rule (8.00, 3.30)

   • Career Stats: 8 runs, 1 win, 0 places, 1 unplaced. Prize money: $9,245.
   • Recent Form: Finished 5th in his last race in a steeplechase. Prior runs were also unspectacular, with a poor finish at Market Rasen.
   • Trainer/Jockey: Rebecca Menzies / Ross Chapman. Menzies has had a solid run this season, but Imperial Rule’s recent performances don’t inspire confidence.
   • Track/Distance Record: No notable performances at Sedgefield. Hasn’t done much in the way of form over fences yet.
   • Comments: Needs more time before becoming competitive, difficult to recommend with his current form.

7. West Warhorse (8.50, 3.50)

   • Career Stats: 8 runs, 1 win, 0 places, 1 unplaced. Prize money: $10,737.
   • Recent Form: Finished 5th in a 4100m hurdle at Southwell, and although he has ability, he lacks consistency.
   • Trainer/Jockey: B Brookhouse / Jack Quinlan. Quinlan has some solid recent form, but this horse might need more experience.
   • Track/Distance Record: 1 win from 5 on soft ground, so not the strongest contender on good ground.
   • Comments: Needs to show consistency and improvement to challenge here, unlikely to be a factor.

Summary:

• Top Picks:

  • Quaresome: Has solid previous form over hurdles, and with Brian Hughes on board, has a good chance of figuring in the finish.
  • Presenting Pete: The experienced chaser may not have been in top form recently, but his consistency in handicap hurdles and chases makes him a contender here.
  • Burrows Hall: With a break behind him and solid form before, he may bounce back with a strong performance at decent odds.

• Dark Horse: Final Edgar has a chance to improve on recent form, and may offer value if he bounces back to his previous good runs.

• Avoid: Imperial Rule and West Warhorse seem to lack the required form to challenge here.

Race 4 : Sedgefield - George Reveley Handicap Chase (20:50) on Tuesday, November 5

November race at Sedgefield Racecourse - an intense competition unfolds under the English autumn sky.

Racecard for the George Reveley Handicap Chase (20:50) on Tuesday, November 5 features several contenders with varying form lines. Here's an analysis of the horses based on their recent performances and attributes:

Key Contenders

1. Bebside Banter

• Odds: 3.80 (fixed) / 1.70 (SP)
• Trainer: C Grant
• Jockey: Danny McMenamin
• Weight: 70.5kg
• Career Record: 15: 2-3-0
• Recent Form: The gelding is returning after an eight-month layoff and concluded his last campaign with a minor placing in a Catterick steeplechase (3850m). While not the most consistent, his record over this distance and track is solid (4: 2-1-0 at Sedgefield). His 1st-up record (3: 1-0-0) indicates that he may be tough to beat in this race.
• Verdict: Strong contender, especially considering his good record at Sedgefield and the ability to perform well on good ground. The trainer and jockey combination also boosts confidence.

2. Into The Sunset

• Odds: 4.40 (fixed) / 1.85 (SP)
• Trainer: Donald McCain Jnr
• Jockey: Theo Gillard
• Weight: 69.5kg
• Career Record: 17: 2-0-1
• Recent Form: This gelding has shown promise at times, finishing fourth in a recent market race and had solid performances last season. However, he often struggles to maintain peak form, as his recent results reflect a lack of podium finishes. His overall career suggests potential but not consistency.
• Verdict: Could place, but his tendency to be inconsistent makes him a risky bet for the win. Watch for possible improvement with the right conditions.

3. The Paddy Pie

• Odds: 7.00 (fixed) / 2.40 (SP)
• Trainer: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith
• Jockey: Peter Kavanagh (A1.5)
• Weight: 71kg
• Career Record: 46: 5-8-11
• Recent Form: An experienced campaigner with a significant number of starts, The Paddy Pie was returning from a layoff in a recent steeplechase at Sedgefield, finishing fifth. While his form isn't top-notch at the moment, his extensive experience and trainer's ability to get the best out of him make him a potential challenger.
• Verdict: Worth considering, especially with a better effort in his last start at Sedgefield. He’s experienced and may improve with the right run.

4. Valence D'aumont

• Odds: 7.50 (fixed) / 2.45 (SP)
• Trainer: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith
• Jockey: Nick Scholfield
• Weight: 76kg
• Career Record: 35: 7-1-4
• Recent Form: Similar to The Paddy Pie, this gelding has been inconsistent but has the ability to perform at a high level. He finished fifth in a recent steeplechase at Hexham and has been competitive in past seasons. His last win was over 135 days ago, but he’s had decent showings in this class before.
• Verdict: Could surprise, especially with a solid first-up record. With the right run and under ideal conditions, he might be a good each-way bet.

5. Selectivelistening

• Odds: 8.00 (fixed) / 2.60 (SP)
• Trainer: Paula Smith
• Jockey: Emma Smith-Chaston (A1.5)
• Weight: 72kg
• Career Record: 11: 0-2-0
• Recent Form: After a disappointing pull-up two starts ago, Selectivelistening bounced back with a strong second-place finish at Hereford in a steeplechase. While his overall record is modest, his most recent performance shows he can be competitive at this level. He’s a younger horse with less mileage and could still improve.
• Verdict: Strong place contender given the bounce-back in form. Can potentially challenge for a podium finish.

6. Agilulf

• Odds: 9.50 (fixed) / 3.00 (SP)
• Trainer: Adam Nicol
• Jockey: Derek Fox
• Weight: 73.5kg
• Career Record: 19: 0-0-4
• Recent Form: A horse yet to win, Agilulf's form is underwhelming. His best efforts have been in the minor placings, and he is still looking for his first victory. While he has some ability, he hasn’t shown enough to be considered a serious contender.
• Verdict: Not likely to feature in the top spots. The lack of a win after many starts is a significant negative.

7. Zuckerberg

• Odds: 10.00 (fixed) / 3.30 (SP)
• Trainer: Jennie Candlish
• Jockey: Sean Quinlan
• Weight: 74kg
• Career Record: 62: 7-6-9
• Recent Form: Zuckerberg is an experienced steeplechaser who has performed reasonably well in the past. However, his form has been mixed recently, and he finished a disappointing 11th in his last outing. Despite his experience, recent results raise concerns.
• Verdict: Outside chance, but needs a turnaround in form to feature at the finish.

8. Dr Shirocco

• Odds: 12.00 (fixed) / 3.50 (SP)
• Trainer: Miss S E Forster
• Jockey: Conor O'Farrell
• Weight: 74.5kg
• Career Record: 34: 3-5-3
• Recent Form: Dr Shirocco comes off a layoff and is a solid first-up performer, winning a steeplechase at Hexham before the break. He seems to have a decent chance in this field, particularly given his ability to win after a break.
• Verdict: Could be competitive with a solid first-up record. Definitely worth keeping an eye on.

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Summary:

• Top Picks: Bebside Banter (strong course and distance form), Into The Sunset (on his best form), and Selectivelistening (recent improvement).
• Outside Chance: The Paddy Pie and Valence D'aumont, with experience and potential to surprise.
• Long Shots: Zuckerberg and Agilulf, with recent form raising doubts about their chances.

Betting Strategy: Consider Bebside Banter for the win, with Selectivelistening for a solid place option. If you're looking for an each-way bet, The Paddy Pie and Dr Shirocco might offer value.

Happy Betting!!!

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