Southwell Race Predictions – A Detailed Blog for Monday, November 18th

Never give up on your goals, no matter how challenging they may seem. Come to Southwell.

 

Southwell's all-weather track presents an exciting day of racing. With the Tapeta surface favoring adaptability and a mix of speed and stamina, today's action will demand strategic rides from jockeys. Below, we analyze each race, offering predictions for the exacta and identifying potential dark horses.

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Race 1 (4:15 PM) – 

• Exacta Prediction: 1st Saxon Raider, 2nd On Key
• Dark Horse: Reddeef

Analysis: Saxon Raider arrives in peak form after a dominant victory at Wolverhampton. Despite the 8 lb rise, his sharp turn of foot and ability to handle this surface make him the one to beat. On Key has shown consistent progress and should challenge. Reddeef, making a Tapeta debut, has the credentials to surprise if he adapts to the track.

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Race 2 (4:45 PM) – 

• Exacta Prediction: 1st Zanzoun, 2nd Flightofthephoenix
• Dark Horse: Courtly Queen

Analysis: Zanzoun’s return to 7f should suit her perfectly, given her strong staying ability displayed previously. Flightofthephoenix showed promise in her debut and is expected to improve. Courtly Queen, a debutant from a strong yard, could make a splash.

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Race 3 (5:15 PM) – 

• Exacta Prediction: 1st Absolute Dream, 2nd Kodebreaker
• Dark Horse: Fariha

Analysis: Absolute Dream, a proven course winner, stands out for his familiarity with these conditions. Kodebreaker’s form at this level is solid. Blinkers on Fariha could sharpen her focus, making her a live outsider.

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Race 4 (5:45 PM) – 

• Exacta Prediction: 1st Reputation, 2nd Laura’s Breeze
• Dark Horse: Tenyatta

Analysis: Reputation has been trying consistently and should capitalize on the moderate pace expected here. Laura’s Breeze, a C&D winner, offers strong value for second. 

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Race 5 (6:15 PM) – 

• Exacta Prediction: 1st Wonder Legend, 2nd Damascus Steel
• Dark Horse: La Pulga

Analysis: Wonder Legend has demonstrated the stamina and class to excel at this trip. Damascus Steel, always competitive, will ensure this race isn’t a walkover. La Pulga’s front-running style could see him steal a march if the pace is slow.

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Race 6 (6:45 PM)  – 

• Exacta Prediction: 1st Je Ne Sais Quoi, 2nd The Coffee Pod
• Dark Horse: Dashing Harry

Analysis: Je Ne Sais Quoi’s impressive Ripon form and versatility make her a clear standout. The Coffee Pod’s recent second suggests he is due for a big run. Dashing Harry could improve further under these conditions.

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Race 7  – 

• Exacta Prediction: 1st Fortunate Star, 2nd Liv Lucky
• Dark Horse: Marcus

Analysis: Fortunate Star’s recent form on this surface is stellar, and he’s the logical pick. Liv Lucky has untapped potential at this distance, while Marcus could exploit any errors by the front runners.

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Race 8 (7:45 PM)  – 

• Exacta Prediction: 1st Running Spirit, 2nd Classic Encounter
• Dark Horse: Groovy Baby

Analysis: Running Spirit has been trying to get there and should capitalize the spot in this trip. Classic Encounter, with cheekpieces back on, looks poised to run a big race. Groovy Baby has been consistent and could be a threat late.

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Race 9 (8:15 PM)  – 

• Exacta Prediction: 1st HK Fourteen, 2nd Arlecchino’s Gift
• Dark Horse: War Memorial

Analysis: HK Fourteen is the form horse of the field, with a strong win streak. Arlecchino’s Gift’s consistency earns him the second slot. War Memorial could spring a surprise with his Tapeta debut for a new trainer.

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A majestic horse thunders down the track, surrounded by lush greenery.

Final Thoughts

Southwell's Tapeta track demands adaptability and a strategic approach from jockeys. Horses with proven form on this surface or the ability to adapt quickly will have the upper hand. Keep an eye on the dark horses in each race as they could deliver value on the betting boards.

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This detailed analysis ensures you are well-prepared for today's racing action at Southwell.