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Southwell Race Day Predictions: December 19, 2024

 Southwell’s polytrack is set for a thrilling lineup of nine races, offering opportunities for bettors and horse racing enthusiasts. This blog provides detailed analysis and predictions for each race, including exacta suggestions and dark horse contenders. With the going listed as standard and a fair draw bias on the sprint track, let’s dive into the races.


Southwell UK horse turf logo, UK Flag and a racetrack
Southwell UK horse turf logo, UK flag, and racetrack, evoking a sense of tradition and heritage.


Race 1: Golden Goals Nursery Handicap (6f16y)

Top Contenders:

  1. Causin A Commotion (11): Recent winner at Wolverhampton, showing strong form. The step back to 6f should suit, making him the one to beat.

  2. Black Sky (8): Ran into traffic on his last start but finished strongly. Blinkers should sharpen focus.

  3. Ignition (7): Improved performance last time, finishing third here over 7f.

Exacta Prediction: Causin A Commotion (11) - Black Sky (8)
Dark Horse: Ignition (7)
Reasoning: Causin A Commotion’s form and suitability to the track give him an edge, while Black Sky’s strong finish last time makes him a credible challenger.


Race 2: EBF Novice Stakes Division I (6f16y)

Top Contenders:

  1. Megaphone (5): Promising debut at Newmarket, now with an in-form trainer.

  2. Desert Champion (2): Improvement expected from his debut effort.

  3. Line of Force (1): Back down in grade and capable of a strong showing.

Exacta Prediction: Megaphone (5) - Desert Champion (2)
Dark Horse: Line of Force (1)
Reasoning: Megaphone’s potential makes him a standout, while Desert Champion’s expected improvement places him firmly in the mix.


Race 3: EBF Novice Stakes Division II (6f16y)

Top Contenders:

  1. Don Pacifico (2): Eye-catching debut at Wolverhampton; improvement expected.

  2. Reporter (5): Consistent performances and open to progress.

  3. Sands of Havana (10): Returning after a break and dropping in grade.

Exacta Prediction: Don Pacifico (2) - Reporter (5)
Dark Horse: Sands of Havana (10)
Reasoning: Don Pacifico’s debut effort suggests he’s ready to win, while Reporter offers consistency and Sands of Havana brings experience.


Race 4: Gamble Responsibly Handicap (6f16y)

Top Contenders:

  1. Walking On Clouds (3): Multiple C&D winner, in excellent form after a recent win.

  2. Kats Bob (1): Consistently in the frame, especially on this track.

  3. Nevernay (5): Strong third last time and poised for another good run.

Exacta Prediction: Walking On Clouds (3) - Kats Bob (1)
Dark Horse: Nevernay (5)
Reasoning: Walking On Clouds’ C&D form is compelling, while Kats Bob’s consistency and Nevernay’s recent improvement make them solid options.


Race 5: Build Your Acca Handicap (1m3f23y)

Top Contenders:

  1. Currumbin (5): Excellent second at Lingfield and switching yards; high expectations.

  2. Arc Zoosve (9): Consistent placer with strong recent form.

  3. Turner Girl (1): Solid second over C&D last time.

Exacta Prediction: Currumbin (5) - Arc Zoosve (9)
Dark Horse: Turner Girl (1)
Reasoning: Currumbin’s recent form suggests he’s on the brink of a win, while Arc Zoosve’s consistency is hard to ignore.


Race 6: Acca-Fenwa Handicap (1m13y)

Top Contenders:

  1. Switchel (4): A Chelmsford winner who followed up with a second at Lingfield.

  2. Charlie’s Choice (6): Reliable performer, coming off two seconds.

  3. Tortured Soul (8): C&D winner with strong recent form.

Exacta Prediction: Switchel (4) - Charlie’s Choice (6)
Dark Horse: Tortured Soul (8)
Reasoning: Switchel’s progressive form gives him the edge, with Charlie’s Choice and Tortured Soul providing stiff competition.


Race 7: Free Tips Daily Handicap (7f14y)

Top Contenders:

  1. Wilde And Dandy (5): Back-to-back wins, including over this C&D.

  2. Partisan Hero (1): Strong second on stable debut after a break.

  3. Overlooked (12): Consistent performer with good recent form.

Exacta Prediction: Wilde And Dandy (5) - Partisan Hero (1)
Dark Horse: Overlooked (12)
Reasoning: Wilde And Dandy’s red-hot form makes him hard to oppose, with Partisan Hero’s potential and Overlooked’s reliability adding depth.


Race 8: Find More Big Deals Handicap (7f14y)

Top Contenders:

  1. Billyb (2): In great form, narrowly beaten last time out over C&D.

  2. Barnaby (11): Thriving on the tapeta surface with multiple wins.

  3. Lessay (3): Good second on stable debut and well-drawn.

Exacta Prediction: Billyb (2) - Barnaby (11)
Dark Horse: Lessay (3)
Reasoning: Billyb’s form and Barnaby’s consistency make them strong contenders, while Lessay’s draw and improvement add value.


Race 9: Boost Your Acca Handicap (4f214y)

Top Contenders:

  1. Popular Dream (1): Impressive maiden win here last time and carries a penalty.

  2. Rogue De Vega (3): Solid performer, recently placed at Newcastle.

  3. Beneficiary (6): Reliable C&D winner with good recent form.

Exacta Prediction: Popular Dream (1) - Rogue De Vega (3)
Dark Horse: Beneficiary (6)
Reasoning: Popular Dream’s progress makes him the top pick, with Rogue De Vega and Beneficiary providing credible challenges.


Conclusion

Southwell’s race day offers an exciting mix of proven performers and emerging talent. By considering form, ground conditions, and tactical advantages, these predictions provide insights to enhance your betting strategy.





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